Core

Edge

The gap between the model's projection and the best available line.

Best Line

The softest number available for a prop across all tracked platforms.

Confidence

How stable a projection is, factoring sample size, injury risk, weather, and lineup certainty.

Projection

The model's expected value for a stat given today's matchup, venue, and form.

Recommendation

The side the model prefers — Over, Under, or a specific price on odds-based props.

MLB

xFIP

Expected Fielding Independent Pitching. A better ERA — measures what a pitcher controls.

xBA

Expected batting average based on quality of contact, not results.

Hard-Hit %

Share of batted balls hit 95+ mph. Predicts extra-base outcomes.

Park Factor

How friendly a stadium is to a given outcome (HR, XBH, hits) vs league average.

PA

Plate appearance. Total trips to the plate, including walks and HBP.

Basketball

Pace

Possessions per 48 minutes. More pace = more counting-stat opportunities.

Usage %

Share of a team's possessions a player uses via a shot, turnover, or FT trip.

DRTG

Defensive rating. Points allowed per 100 possessions.

DREB

Defensive rebound.

Soccer

xG

Expected Goals. Quality-adjusted probability that a shot becomes a goal.

xGA

Expected Goals Against. Quality of chances a team allows.

Anytime Goal

Prop that pays if a player scores at any point during the match.

Markets

Implied Probability

The probability baked into an odds price (e.g. -115 ≈ 53%).

Line Movement

A change in the posted number or price between when it opened and now.

Steam

Sharp, one-sided movement across multiple books at once.