Every ten minutes we pull the same prop across PrizePicks, Underdog, and major sportsbooks. If a platform moves the number, we see it on the next refresh.
Our model blends recent form, matchup, park/weather, usage, and pace into a single projected number for the stat — independent of any book's line.
For an Over, the softest line is the lowest available number. For an Under, the highest. For odds-based props, the price with the biggest implied edge vs the model.
Edge is projection minus the best line. Confidence is how sure the model is. Props are sorted by the two multiplied — highest probability edge bets first.
Every prop ships with plain-English drivers, matchup factors, recent context, and the risks that could kill it. No black boxes.
The edge formula
rank_score = edge × (confidence / 100)
A +0.8 edge at 80% confidence outranks a +1.2 edge at 40%. Bigger isn't always better — probability matters.
Common questions
Every ten minutes. If a book moves the number, the Best Line and edge recalculate on the next refresh.
The gap between our model's projection and the softest available line. A projection of 2.3 total bases vs a line of 1.5 is a +0.8 edge on the Over.
No. We surface the best available line and explain the drivers and risks. You decide.
MLB, WNBA, NBA, and Soccer at launch. More sports and prop types are being added.
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Every tracked prop, ranked by edge × confidence.